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Insights

The Employment Outlook Survey for Q3 2023 Explained 

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Our quarterly employment outlook survey is out and despite the talent shortage, inflation and a low U.S. unemployment rate, we’re pleased to report that a sizable number of major companies are planning to add to staff in the 3rd quarter. A full 48% of respondents to the latest ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey reported the intention to hire new employees in the third quarter of 2023. This is five percentage points higher than last quarter.  

Our quarterly Employment Outlook Survey measures employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their payrolls in the July-September time period. Now in its 61st year, it’s the most comprehensive, forward-looking employment survey of its kind, used globally as a key economic indicator.   

The Net Employment Outlook (NEO) for the U.S. stands at +35%. That’s a 5-point jump from Q2. The NEO realizes the difference between the percentage of employers planning to increase staff in the quarter minus the percentage expected to decrease staff.   

For the eighth straight quarter, the strongest hiring expectations are in the Information Technology sector, where 55% of employers plan to add to staff. This is the second highest Outlook in the world (behind Australia). The sector with the largest increase since the previous quarter is Energy & Utilities with a change of +17 percentage points.  

This map diagrams regional differences as compared to last quarter and last year. 

 

MEOS_2023_Q3

 

Globally, the Net Employment Outlook for the U.S. ties for 6th in the world; seven points above the world average. The strongest hiring plans for the third quarter of 2023 are predicted in Costa Rica (+43), The Netherlands (+39) and Peru (+38).  

Finally, this quarter’s report includes statistics regarding the difficulty of finding skilled talent. Overall, 75% of U.S. employers reported having “some” or “a lot of” difficulty finding the talent they need.  

The full report breaks down the talent shortage by industry, top soft skills needed by industry, and more. Access the Q3 2023 Employment Outlook Survey to help you make the smartest decisions for your organization.   


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